Timberman time prediction

Alright... Lets try this again and actually nail it this time. Swim 33 minutes - I know I am a better swim, so should be a lock. Bike 2:30 (22.5 miles an hour) Very doable. 190 watts should get me there. Run 1:32 = TOUGH, but again doable. Need to lock in my pace early.. 4:39 = Holy crap. Everything has to go perfect.